Newmarket Best Value Bets Sunday 1 May

Matt Brocklebank, who awarded the Coroebus antepost for 2000 Guineas, is looking forward to QIPCO 1000 Guineas Day at Newmarket, with two recommended bets on the card.

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All eyes are on Tenebrism at Sunday’s QIPCO 1000 Guineas Stakes and there’s an argument that it might be shorter in the pot than it really is.

A brilliant first-time winner in late March last year, she later had to miss a Royal Ascot game due to a setback that eventually sent her off the track until the Chevelle Park Stakes on September 25, when the score was 2-2 with one. – Long victory over Flotos and Sandrine, who were rated 104 and 108 at the time.

Tenebrism isn’t necessarily a typical Aidan O’Brien trained guinea horse – the kind that goes to things better when they climb into the middle distances later in the campaign, but there’s clearly a good chance they’ll keep the mile well enough based on their pedigree (from timeless verse), Its capabilities are there for all to see.

She’s not the only one who has it, though, and that brings not only a stable Tenebrism buddy Tuesday, who is a sister to Minding and seems pretty skilled in her craft in her own right, but also trained by Roger Varian. Amina.

I’m sure she would have won her first here in October if she had gotten a clear run and it was so frustrating that the communications had been sitting on their hands all winter before returning Exceed And Excel’s daughter to right the wrong in another seven-furlong maiden at the Craven meeting.

She sent equal cash that day, and she did not disappoint, traveling kindly to David Egan before skipping three and three-quarters of her lengths from the entrance shrine of William Haggas for the coronation.

Amna (also on the podium) appears to have a lot of natural pace like many of her dad’s offspring but is also from a strong family (her sister won over 1m 4ft, out a 10f winner) and was pretty strong in the end on her comeback.

It’s a huge step up from start to classic, but she’s improved around a stone between her first two matches and fifth of her last race since she’s won the Yarmouth spool by four lengths, so there’s some positive side profile to work with as well.

Not many others are open to a lot of additional progress, so I think it’s only worth the win win.

Another well-acclaimed race is the Betfair Daily Rewards Handicap over a mile and three quarters.

Sir Mark Prescott’s pistol is clearly impressive on his first round since the 2020 Doncaster Cup, when he was a good fourth after previously winning a Pontefract handicap in good style from the 7-pound mark off the day.

He won when he was new in the past but not missed in the market and the ready-made preference is right for the race Stevens soap.

It was no surprise that Harzand’s son really appeared on the radar as soon as he took the distance when he was three years old (0-3 per second) and ran much better than the final stand would suggest when he was on the field at King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot .

Retreating to a mile and a half didn’t play to his strengths at all there, and then he fumbled in Haydock’s mud in July before being driven away.

Given the extended winter break, it was very encouraging to see Mark and Charlie Johnston’s horse run such a fun race when they finished fifth at Mosselburg in the Queen’s Cup last month, and the Middleham team has used that race to paddle into a lot of the best residents over the years. .

Soapy Stevens lost another pound for a comeback that seems generous and leaves him only 5 pounds higher than his second win last summer. Dark Jedi, the Musselburgh runner-up, has re-emerged and must stick strictly to form on these terms, but he had a pre-season run in Doncaster to go to this race and I think this course – and decent ground – will play more in the hands of choice.

Posted at 1600 GMT on 04/30/22

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